26th Aug. England League Cup - AFC Bournemouth VS Brentford Prediction
England League Cup - AFC Bournemouth VS Brentford
Match Time:27-08-2025 02:45 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth, coached by Andoni Iraola, is 15th in the Premier League with 1 point after a 4-2 loss to Liverpool and a 2-2 draw at Nottingham Forest. Their recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two losses in five competitive matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, with a 2-0 EFL Cup first-round win over Plymouth Argyle on August 14, 2025. Key players include Antoine Semenyo, Evanilson, and Julián Araujo, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Kepa; Araujo, Zabarnyi, Senesi, Kerkez; Cook, Adams; Semenyo, Tavernier, Ouattara; Evanilson. Strengths include their attacking flair (Semenyo’s brace vs Liverpool) and home atmosphere, but injuries to Justin Kluivert (calf), Ryan Christie (groin), Lewis Cook (MCL), and Enes Ünal (ACL) are significant concerns. Bournemouth aim to leverage their home form (1-1-0 in league) and upset Brentford, despite a poor recent record against them (0 wins in last 7 meetings).
Brentford
Brentford, led by Keith Andrews, is 8th in the Premier League with 3 points after a 3-1 loss at Nottingham Forest and a 1-0 win over Aston Villa, where Dango Ouattara scored. Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, including a 3-2 EFL Cup first-round win over Colchester United. Key players include Ouattara (1 goal), Jordan Henderson, and Mikkel Damsgaard, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Valdimarsson; Ajer, Collins, Pinnock, Roerslev; Henderson, Jensen; Schade, Damsgaard, Ouattara; Toney. Strengths include their counter-attacking threat and recent H2H dominance (unbeaten in last 7 vs Bournemouth), but Yoane Wissa’s absence (transfer speculation) and injuries to Fábio Carvalho (shoulder), Gustavo Nunes (back), and Igor Thiago (knee) are issues. They aim to continue their strong form against Bournemouth and advance.
Head-to-Head
As detailed in the sports card, Bournemouth and Brentford have met 19 times in league and cup since 2004, with Brentford winning 9, Bournemouth 4, and 6 draws. Recent results include a 2-1 Brentford win on March 15, 2025 (Wissa 30’, Nørgaard 71’; Janelt OG 17’ for Bournemouth), a 3-2 Brentford win on November 9, 2024, and a 2-2 draw on September 2, 2023. At Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth have a 1-2-2 record in their last five home games against Brentford, with their last home win a 1-0 result in 2021. Matches average 2.7 goals, with 53% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 47% over 2.5 goals, indicating competitive, often high-scoring games. Brentford’s current 7-game unbeaten streak against Bournemouth (5 wins, 2 draws) gives them a psychological edge.
Predicted Score: AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Brentford
Bournemouth’s Semenyo and Evanilson face Brentford’s Ouattara and Toney, with Bournemouth’s home strength tested by Brentford’s H2H dominance and counter-attacking prowess. Bournemouth are slight favorites (1.80 odds, 54% win probability) over Brentford (4.00), with a draw at 3.80, per web sources. Trends (Bournemouth: 60% over 2.5 goals; Brentford: 40% BTTS) and H2H suggest a lively game, with betting tips favoring Bournemouth Draw No Bet (1.40) and over 2.5 goals (1.76). Cards are likely in the 18°C evening, with Bournemouth’s 13 fouls and Brentford’s 11 per game suggesting 4-5 cards under Stroud’s whistle. Bournemouth aim to end their Brentford drought, while Brentford seek to extend their streak. Bournemouth may score through Semenyo, with Toney likely netting for Brentford. Bournemouth’s home urgency and attacking depth should secure a narrow win, breaking Brentford’s H2H run, though Brentford’s counters keep it close, aligning with their high-scoring trend.
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