26th Aug. England League Cup - Sheffield Wednesday VS Leeds United Prediction

England League Cup - Sheffield Wednesday VS Leeds United
Match Time:27-08-2025 03:00 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Wednesday, coached by Henrik Pedersen, is 22nd in the EFL Championship with 1 point after a 0-3 loss to Stoke City and a 2-2 draw at Wrexham, where Barry Bannan and Bailey Cadamarteri scored. Their recent form includes one win, one draw, and three losses in five competitive matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, with a 3-3 draw (4-2 penalty win) against Bolton Wanderers in the EFL Cup first round. Key players include Bannan (1 goal), Cadamarteri, and Anthony Musaba, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Beadle; Valery, Iorfa, Bernard, Lowe; Bannan, Ingelsson; Windass, Musaba, Valentín; Lowe. Strengths include their fighting spirit (comeback vs Wrexham) and home atmosphere, despite a fan boycott over owner Dejphon Chansiri’s financial issues, limiting home stands to the South Stand. Injuries to Djedi Gassama and Anthony Musaba (doubtful) and a thin squad due to player sales are concerns. They aim to upset their Yorkshire rivals, leveraging their penalty-shootout resilience.
Leeds United
Leeds United, led by Daniel Farke, is 13th in the Premier League with 3 points after a 1-0 win over Everton and a 5-0 loss at Arsenal on August 24, 2025. Their recent form shows two wins, three draws, and one loss in six matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with a 3-0 EFL Cup first-round loss to Middlesbrough last season highlighting cup vulnerabilities. Key players include Brenden Aaronson, Dan James, and Joe Gelhardt, with a probable 4-2-3-1 lineup: Meslier; Bogle, Rodon, Struijk, Byram; Ampadu, Gruev; Aaronson, James, Gnonto; Gelhardt. Strengths include their attacking options and recent H2H dominance (3-1-1 in last 5 vs Sheffield Wednesday), but injuries to Georginio Rutter (hip) and squad rotation risks are issues. They aim to rebound from their Arsenal defeat and progress, despite the short trip and intense derby atmosphere.
Head-to-Head
As detailed in the sports card above, Sheffield Wednesday and Leeds have met 16 times in the Premier League since 1992, with Leeds leading 7-5-4 and a +6 goal differential. Recent results include a 2-0 Leeds win on August 23, 2024 (Aaronson 24’, James 48’) and a 2-0 Leeds win on March 8, 2024, both in the Championship. At Hillsborough, Leeds have a 4-2-2 record, with Sheffield Wednesday’s last home win a 1-0 result in 1995. Matches average 2.2 goals, with 44% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 38% over 2.5 goals, trending lower recently. Web sources note Leeds’ dominance since 2019 (4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), with Sheffield Wednesday scoring in only one of their last seven meetings.
Predicted Score: Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 Leeds United
Sheffield Wednesday’s Bannan and Cadamarteri face Leeds’ Aaronson and James, with Wednesday’s home fight and cup resilience tested by Leeds’ Premier League quality and H2H edge. Leeds are favorites (1.22 odds, 82% win probability) over Sheffield Wednesday (9.50), with a draw at 5.50, per web sources. Trends (Sheffield Wednesday: 100% over 2.5 goals in last 5; Leeds: 20% over 2.5 goals) and H2H suggest a low-scoring game, with betting tips favoring Leeds to win (1.22) and under 2.5 goals (2.00). Cards are likely in the 18°C evening, with Sheffield Wednesday’s 11 fouls and Leeds’ 10 per game suggesting 3-4 cards under Hooper’s whistle. Sheffield Wednesday aim for a derby upset, but Leeds’ form should prevail despite rotation. Leeds may score through James or Aaronson, with Wednesday unlikely to break through Meslier. Leeds’ H2H dominance and quality should secure a clean-sheet win, aligning with their recent shutouts and Wednesday’s defensive struggles, though the boycott-affected atmosphere keeps it competitive.
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